Population, Job Growth, and Commuting
Census Division 19 which includes the County and City of Grande Prairie is expected to see significant population growth between 2023 and 2031, beating the projected national population growth rate but behind Alberta’s projected growth rate. Our region’s wages are also higher than the national average but slightly behind those of the province. Division 19 is projected to beat the province on job creation indicating that our population to job growth ratio is higher but behind the national projection.
Population, Jobs, and Wage Comparison by Region
| Region | Population (2023) | Population (2031) | Population Change % | Jobs (2023) | Jobs (2031) | Jobs Change % | Current Average Wages |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberta | 4,630,337 | 5,351,225 | 15.57% | 2,155,763 | 2,322,552 | 7.74% | $66,414 |
| Canada | 39,338,207 | 42,506,574 | 8.05% | 18,334,391 | 19,961,668 | 8.88% | $62,427 |
| Division No. 19 (in Alberta) | 129,515 | 143,846 | 11.07% | 64,181 | 69,483 | 8.26% | $63,114 |
In terms of total job growth the highest number of new jobs are driven by Accommodation and Food Services, and Health care and social assistance but the growth in Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting are the largest projected drivers of economic impact and wage growth in the County because these jobs act as economic multipliers supporting the other sectors.
Employment Projections by Industry
Click headers to sort data
| NAICS | Description | 2023 Jobs | 2024 Jobs | 2031 Jobs | 2023 - 2031 Change | 2023 - 2031 % Change | Avg. Wages Per Job |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | 1,587 | 1,613 | 1,627 | 40 | 2.52% | $61,411 |
| 21 | Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction | 5,726 | 5,847 | 6,468 | 742 | 12.97% | $98,604 |
| 22 | Utilities | 443 | 457 | 508 | 65 | 14.75% | $94,111 |
| 23 | Construction | 5,958 | 5,938 | 6,228 | 271 | 4.54% | $80,724 |
| 31-33 | Manufacturing | 2,690 | 2,738 | 2,953 | 264 | 9.8% | $82,455 |
| 41 | Wholesale trade | 3,322 | 3,336 | 3,354 | 32 | 0.97% | $75,375 |
| 44-45 | Retail trade | 8,850 | 8,881 | 9,118 | 268 | 3.03% | $38,851 |
| 48-49 | Transportation and warehousing | 3,893 | 4,026 | 4,636 | 743 | 19.08% | $75,451 |
| 51 | Information and cultural industries | 378 | 371 | 349 | -28 | -7.48% | $46,703 |
| 52 | Finance and insurance | 1,296 | 1,309 | 1,406 | 110 | 8.48% | $67,283 |
| 53 | Real estate and rental and leasing | 1,512 | 1,504 | 1,533 | 21 | 1.41% | $74,632 |
| 54 | Professional, scientific and technical services | 2,458 | 2,454 | 2,556 | 98 | 3.97% | $70,236 |
| 55 | Management of companies and enterprises | 208 | 206 | 223 | 15 | 7.16% | $76,986 |
| 56 | Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services | 2,524 | 2,570 | 3,037 | 512 | 20.3% | $53,459 |
| 61 | Educational services | 3,939 | 3,968 | 4,113 | 174 | 4.42% | $61,198 |
| 62 | Health care and social assistance | 4,850 | 4,902 | 5,341 | 491 | 10.12% | $52,097 |
| 71 | Arts, entertainment and recreation | 676 | 690 | 784 | 108 | 15.93% | $24,457 |
| 72 | Accommodation and food services | 6,127 | 6,347 | 6,908 | 781 | 12.75% | $30,684 |
| 81 | Other services (except public administration) | 3,199 | 3,263 | 3,525 | 326 | 10.2% | $55,854 |
| 91 | Public administration | 3,232 | 3,230 | 3,391 | 159 | 4.92% | $77,475 |
| X0 | Unclassified | 1,315 | 1,332 | 1,425 | 109 | 8.32% | $66,740 |
| Total: | 64,181 | 64,982 | 69,483 | 5,302 | 8.01% | $64,990 |
